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Highway To Hell
Premiums Soaring for Diplomate Bullion as Delayed Deliveries and Shortages Reinforce Internationally
COMEX gold continues to blow to the downside despite the incredibly able fundamentals of gold bullion itself with increasing shortages, delayed deliveries and premiums soaring for incarnate bullion in Asia, Europe, the US and internationally. Premiums have soared on smaller bullion products (from 1 ozt to 5 kilo gold bars) and look set to lickety-split rise on the larger 100 and 400 ozt London Proof Delivery gold bars.
Immense investors and bullion dealers are now looking to take distribution of the December gold contract and there is favoured to be a significant number of longs who persist in for delivery leading to COMEX warehouses being depleted and the increasingly stupid COMEX price then surging in value.
The realizable default of COMEX is even being considered by some quick observers. It is estimated that COMEX only have enough gold to perform on some 10% of the outstanding contracts. October is not a emancipation month so the December contract is being targeted. Some liberal money interests also realise the passive for sizeable profits from taking utterance of large gold and silver bars and melting them down into smaller bullion products for jumble sale at far higher premiums. The COMEX December Gold choice expiry is November 20 and there may be fireworks in the gold demand soon after the election on November 4th in presentiment of far higher prices due to the incredibly stinking supply and demand fundamentals.
Bernanke's proposed stimulus coupled shows that his helicopters are well and truly dumping dollars on America like confetti at a ticker fillet parade. While this may be bullish for stock markets in the impolite and medium term it is likely to have serious ramifications for the dollar and the extensive monetary system in the coming months.
The renowned finances of the US are in a mess and deteriorating unwavering and now the country is formally committed to "unchecked" creation of dollars and the national accountable is rising at an annual rate of 75 percent. This will denouement in far higher gold prices in all fiat currencies in the coming months.
http://expos.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1224590400.php
USDollar Extirpation Dance
Jim Willie CB
How many times have we seen the US range market go down, non-government bond yields turn out, the USDollar rise, and the USTBond yields failure? That has been the norm in the last few weeks. These are death signals, not investment signals. The USEconomy cannot at odds with liquidation and constricted credit, a well-known certainty, seemingly forgotten today. These signals stop by amidst falling confidence, more bank upset measures, more job loss, more home foreclosures, and lately, dissatisfaction with letters of credit at port facilities.
Pecuniary markets, including the USDollar, have yet to deputy in the deep USEconomic recession. The USDollar mass meeting flies in the face of deteriorating fundamentals. See job cut announcements at Caterpillar, Merrill Lynch, Ill-defined Motors, Chrysler, several Wall Way firms including Goldman Sachs today. Weekly jobless claims at close up to half a million per week, square with to peak during the unrecognized 2001 dip. See the UMichigan consumer sentiment, Philly Fed marker, Empire Fed index, leading pecuniary indicators, durable goods orders, on and on. Retail sales, the chief of the backwards USEconomy, are plummeting. That is, the plummet is before inflation payment adjustments. Car sales are plummeting also.
Exports are to be worse from the higher US$ market rate on the table, combined with slower unfamiliar economies. The improved export barter has been a big boast from the lunatics running the asylum. The USEconomy is accelerating in its decline, doubtless to produce a recession and huge USGovt deficits. That default is likely to at least double and possible quadruple next year. USTreasury Stick issuance cannot conceivably finance all, or at least half, of the commitments. The printing throng will do the rest, which will cut down the US$ valuation. The USDollar avoid lies ahead, when the distortions unpunctual or come to an end. Gold will soar on the other side of this liquidation.
An stringent backlash attack is coming against the USDollar. Rising sense prices in foreign economies have already caused apprehension. Foreigners will soon attack the US$ in a meaningfulness of time, using heavy US$-based reserves. Their banking sectors are in disarray, particularly because they are intimately tied to the US$ and USTBonds. The operation has begun with Brazil and Mexico in Latin America, to use their spicy reserves and sell into this queer US$ concentratedness. That is what reserves are for. The process will spread to other nations.
GOLD Sell CLOSE TO BREAKING
The gap between the physical gold merchandise and paper gold market is widening. An case bears this out. In Toronto this week, a greater off-market gold transaction took embarrass. The price paid was $1075 per ounce on the man transaction. Its volume was in the multi-million$. There was no US involvement in the affair, and the settlement was in euros. Enormous repositioning is non-stop by the groups that will participate in the new, partially gold-backed currency. My take is this progress is from a large financial entity with broad activity, and ties to central banks. It might be tied to the upcoming split in the euro, into a Nordic Euro and trashed Latin Euro. The Nordic interpretation might contain a gold component. This and other transactions are compelling place with European settlement. They are being satisfied in the variant market, far from the distortions of COMEX. This was a medical man transaction with the real metal being moved. Big shifts come to behind the scenes. A couple of months ago, 400 metric tonnes were moved into storage with the Superior Canadian Mint by a sovereign object.
The more massive the paper manipulation, the more serious the coming correction. The asylum managers are losing command of their paper-physical arbitrage. Watch the gold sublet rates, and silver lease rates, which have each more than tripled in the last two months. Rental agreement rates precede price group. Bullion bankers, including important banks, are reluctant to lease their doc supply. This time is no different, an affair to come after the COMEX criminality is swept aside, or entirely overwhelmed in return. One well-informed authority, with over two decades of gold market practice, actually expects arrests to take diggings among COMEX officials before long.
John Embry of Sprott Asset Mgmt has raised the potential of a December gold futures narrow default. He is not predicting it, or claiming it as determined, but rather mentions how talk centers on the December gold reduce as having extreme stress for current delivery. Pressure is building. The December understanding not only is end of quarter, but end of year. He suggests a conceivable default. He said, “there is undoubtedly going to be such an event to change perceptions.” He cited a tenable force majeure that could act as a “undeveloped event that defines the whole situation.” He explained that the medico gold price would then dictate the manuscript gold price, a return to normalcy, and with a thumping move up in the gold price. Right now the tract gold market is overwhelming the natural side, but the physical side is constricted on supply. He explained that hedge funds are being unwound on a massy scale, slaughtered by margin calls. The protracted side must call for delivery on many contracts. He also expects there will be many questions on the Truck Traded Funds soon as well, although those are doggedly not as important as the COMEX contract defaults. Follow and listen to his interview on the Canadian Matter News Network (CLICK HERE), and be unavoidable to move to the 10 to 11 minute dent.
http://news.goldseek.com/GoldenJackass/1224791251.php
Aftershock and Gold Shoot up
Welcome to the opening ceremony of a fresh depression.
The bottom line is this: the massive repatriation of US Dollars as a sequel of de-leveraging globally and the unwinding of so many acknowledgement contingent deals is making the US Dollar look vivid, while the gold manipulation cartel is exerting its utmost trouble to keep the spot price of gold low through concentrated limited positions on COMEX. The price of gold will crop up from this negative influence on the next leg down and the economy goes into a broader paralysis as contrasted with of being limited as it is now to real estate and financials. Most credible analysts are recommending a least 30% exposure to gold for institutional portfolios.
Though its impenetrable to imagine in the current price situation, both gold and silver are on the verge of a tremendous breakout to the upside, and if you can’t get your hands on the medico bullion over the next 24 months, the producing companies will be next followed closely by well cashed up younger explorers with million ounce+ deposits in Chauvinistic Instrument 43-101 compliant categories.
Disregard the negative press on gold, and understand the current price weakness for what it is: the last epoch you’ll see gold this cheap in a long occasion, and therefore a huge opportunity.
http://hearsay.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1224690519.php
Gold's brand-new slump bewilders investors
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Gold is often seen as an investment securely haven whose price tends to flight when the economy falls into troubles, but its current slumps have defied conventional judgement.
The reason, according to analysts at the Faction Gold Council, is that the latest turn of the credit crisis has been deeper and more far reaching. Funds were strained to sell desired assets such as gold to take care of margin calls, while weakness in European economies lifted the U.S. dollar, which then pushed dollar-denominated gold prices cut.
"The fact that gold did not head...
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